The landscape of European club football underwent a seismic shift in 2021 with the introduction of the UEFA Conference League. Originally conceived as the “Europa League 2,” this competition was designed to democratize continental football, offering more clubs from a broader range of member associations the chance to experience the prestige and financial rewards of European competition. As we move through the 2025/26 season, the conference league has firmly established itself as a vital third tier, sitting alongside the Champions League and Europa League.
Table of Contents
What is the Conference League?
The conference league is the third-tier annual football competition organized by UEFA. Its primary mission is to provide more “European nights” to clubs that might otherwise struggle to break into the more exclusive brackets of the Champions League or Europa League. While it is the youngest of the three major tournaments, it has quickly gained a reputation for high-intensity matches, underdog stories, and a pathway for emerging stars to showcase their talent on a global stage.
The New Format: From Groups to a Global League
Starting with the 2024/25 season, the conference league underwent a radical transformation in its structure, moving away from the traditional four-team group stage.
The League Phase
The tournament now features a 36-team league phase. Unlike a traditional league where every team plays each other, each club in the conference league is drawn against six different opponents, three at home and three away. This “Swiss-style” system ensures that teams face a diverse range of competition from across the continent.
- Top 8 Teams: Automatically qualify for the Round of 16.
- 9th to 24th Place: Enter a two-legged knockout play-off round to secure a spot in the final 16.
- 25th to 36th Place: Eliminated from the competition entirely, with no “drop down” from higher-tier tournaments at this stage.
The Knockout Rounds
Once the initial league phase is complete, the conference league transitions into a classic knockout format. All ties from the Round of 16 through to the semi-finals are played over two legs (home and away). The final is a single-match event held at a prestigious neutral venue. For the 2025/26 season, the final is set to take place at the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig, Germany.
Why the Conference League Matters: Coefficient and Rewards
Beyond the silverware, the conference league offers significant strategic advantages for participating clubs and their national associations.
1. UEFA Coefficients
Every win and draw in the conference league contributes to a club’s individual UEFA coefficient, which determines seeding in future draws. Furthermore, these results feed into the Association Coefficient, which dictates how many European spots a country receives in subsequent seasons. For mid-tier leagues, success in the conference league is the most effective way to climb the rankings and earn more berths in the Champions League.
2. Automatic Promotion
The ultimate prize for winning the conference league is a guaranteed spot in the league phase of the following season’s UEFA Europa League. This provides a vital safety net and a clear path of progression for ambitious clubs.
3. Financial Inclusivity
Participation in the conference league provides a substantial financial injection for smaller clubs. Revenue from broadcasting rights, ticket sales, and UEFA prize money can often exceed a club’s entire domestic annual budget, allowing for infrastructure improvements and better player recruitment.
A History of Champions
In its short history, the conference league has already produced iconic moments and high-profile winners:
| Season | Winner | Runner-up | Venue |
| 2021/22 | AS Roma | Feyenoord | Tirana, Albania |
| 2022/23 | West Ham United | Fiorentina | Prague, Czech Republic |
| 2023/24 | Olympiacos | Fiorentina | Athens, Greece |
| 2024/25 | Chelsea | Real Betis | Wrocław, Poland |
The 2024/25 victory by Chelsea was particularly historic, as they became the first club to win all three major UEFA club trophies (Champions League, Europa League, and the conference league).
Key Players and Teams to Watch in 2025/26
The current 2025/26 edition of the conference league features several heavy hitters and intriguing dark horses. Clubs like Fiorentina who have remarkably reached two finals in the past continue to be a dominant force. Meanwhile, Premier League representative Crystal Palace is looking to replicate the success of fellow English clubs in the competition.
Other notable participants in the league phase include:
- AZ Alkmaar (Netherlands)
- Real Betis (Spain)
- Legia Warszawa (Poland)
- Mainz 05 (Germany)
Rules and Regulations to Note
For fans and bettors alike, understanding the specific rules of the conference league is essential:
- Substitutions: Teams can use up to five substitutes in normal time, with a sixth allowed if a knockout match goes to extra time.
- VAR: Video Assistant Referee (VAR) technology is utilized throughout the league phase and knockout rounds to ensure fair play.
- Homegrown Player Rule: UEFA mandates that squads must include “locally trained” players, encouraging the development of youth academies across Europe.
The Future of the Tournament
As the conference league continues to grow, it is fulfilling its promise of making European football more inclusive. It has given fans in nations like Albania, Greece, and Cyprus the chance to host major finals and witness their local heroes compete against some of the biggest names in the sport.
The tactical diversity seen in the conference league is often superior to the more rigid systems found in the Champions League. Coaches often use this platform to experiment with new formations, leading to high-scoring and unpredictable matches that have become a favorite for neutral spectators.
For more detailed statistics and live updates, you can check the official UEFA Conference League standings.
As the conference league moves into the final stages of the 2025/26 league phase, the competition has never been more intense. With the introduction of the new 36-team single-league structure, every goal and every point matters significantly more than in the previous group-stage format.
Below is the detailed breakdown of the standings and key statistics as of December 17, 2025, following the conclusion of Matchday 5.
Current 2025/26 League Phase Standings (Top 24)
The table below highlights the teams currently positioned to advance. The top 8 will receive a direct bye to the Round of 16, while those ranked 9th to 24th will enter the knockout play-offs.
| Rank | Club | Played | GD | Points |
| 1 | RC Strasbourg (FRA) | 5 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (UKR) | 5 | +5 | 12 |
| 3 | Raków Częstochowa (POL) | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 | AEK Athens (GRE) | 5 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (TUR) | 5 | +6 | 10 |
| 6 | Sparta Prague (CZE) | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano (ESP) | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Mainz 05 (GER) | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace (ENG) | 5 | +5 | 9 |
| 10 | AEK Larnaca (CYP) | 5 | +5 | 9 |
| 11 | Fiorentina (ITA) | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 12 | NK Celje (SVN) | 5 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | AZ Alkmaar (NED) | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Rijeka (CRO) | 5 | +3 | 8 |
| 15 | Omonia Nikosia (CYP) | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 16 | FC Lausanne-Sport (SUI) | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 17 | FC Noah (ARM) | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 18 | Jagiellonia Białystok (POL) | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 19 | KF Drita (KOS) | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Lech Poznań (POL) | 5 | +3 | 7 |
| 21 | Shkëndija 79 (MKD) | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 22 | Sigma Olomouc (CZE) | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 23 | CS Universitatea Craiova (ROU) | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 24 | Lincoln Red Imps (GIB) | 5 | -5 | 7 |
Top Performers and Goalscorers
The race for the Golden Boot in the conference league is currently a neck-and-neck battle between two of the competition’s breakout stars.
- Top Goalscorers:
- Franko Kovačević (NK Celje): 5 Goals
- Nardin Mulahusejnović (FC Noah): 5 Goals
- Marius Mouandilmadji (Samsunspor): 4 Goals
- Playmaking Leaders: * Martial Godo (Strasbourg) and Ronaldo Webster (Shkëndija) currently lead the charts with 3 assists each, proving vital to their teams’ offensive success.
- Defensive Wall: * AEK Larnaca has been the hardest team to break down, with goalkeeper Zlatan Alomerovićrecording an impressive 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
What’s Next? Matchday 6 Deciders
The final matchday of the league phase (scheduled for December 18, 2025) features several high-stakes fixtures that will decide who clinches a top-8 spot:
- Crystal Palace vs. KuPS: A win for Palace could propel them into the automatic Round of 16 spots.
- Mainz 05 vs. Samsunspor: A direct battle for a top-8 seed between two teams currently tied on 10 points.
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Rijeka: Shakhtar aims to snatch the top spot from Strasbourg on the final day.
For a full list of upcoming fixtures and live scoring, visit the official UEFA Match Calendar.
To round out our comprehensive guide, let’s take an in-depth look at one of the most pivotal “decider” games of the 2025/26 conference league league phase.
While several matches will determine the final standings, all eyes are on South London as an English favorite looks to secure its status.
Match Preview: Crystal Palace vs. KuPS
Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025 Venue: Selhurst Park, London Kick-off: 20:00 GMT
This Matchday 6 clash represents the classic “all-or-nothing” drama that the conference league was designed to produce. Entering the final day, the stakes could not be higher for either side.
The Stakes
- Crystal Palace: Currently sitting in 9th place, the Eagles are just one point shy of the top-8 “Golden Zone.” A win is essential for Oliver Glasner’s men to leapfrog into an automatic Round of 16 spot and avoid the grueling two-legged playoff in February.
- KuPS (Kuopion Palloseura): The Finnish side currently sits in 25th place—painfully close to the top-24 cutoff for the knockout play-offs. They need at least a point (and likely a win) combined with results elsewhere to keep their European dream alive.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Crystal Palace has been one of the high-performers in terms of advanced metrics, creating an average of 2.33 Expected Goals (xG) per game over their last three European outings. However, defensive consistency has been an issue, having kept only two clean sheets in five matches.
Key Players to Watch:
- Yeremy Pino (Crystal Palace): The Spanish international has been a revelation in the conference league, recording three goal involvements. His ability to cut inside from the wing will be the primary threat to the KuPS backline.
- Johannes Kreidl (KuPS): If the Finnish side is to get a result, they will need a heroic performance from their goalkeeper. Kreidl currently ranks among the top keepers in the competition for “goals prevented.”
- Piotr Parzyszek (KuPS): The veteran striker is the focal point of the KuPS attack and will be looking to exploit any lapses in the Palace defense.
Team News
Palace faces some squad depth challenges with Ismaila Sarr away for AFCON duty and Daichi Kamada sidelined with an injury. This may force Glasner to rely on youth academy prospects to see the game out. For KuPS, Samuel Pasanen remains the only significant injury concern.
Other Decisive Fixtures to Watch
While Palace fights for the top 8, two other “six-pointer” games will shape the final conference league bracket:
- Mainz 05 vs. Samsunspor: A direct battle between 8th and 5th. Since both teams are currently tied on 10 points, the winner is guaranteed safe passage to the Round of 16, while the loser will likely face the play-off round.
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Rijeka: Shakhtar is chasing the #1 overall seed. A dominant win in Krakow could see them overtake Strasbourg for the top spot, ensuring the theoretically “easiest” path through the knockout bracket.
Final Thoughts
The 2025/26 conference league has proven that the “Swiss Model” league phase keeps the competition alive until the very last second. From the high-budget Premier League giants to the spirited underdogs of the Finnish Veikkausliiga, every club still has something to fight for on Matchday 6.
Based on the current form and the Matchday 5 standings, we can project how the final conference league table might look after the dust settles on December 18. This projection assumes “favorites” hold their ground, but as we know with European football, there is always room for a late-night upset.
Projected Final League Phase Standings (Top 12)
| Rank | Club | Final Points (Proj.) | Movement | Reason for Shift |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 15 | ↑ 1 | Projected 2-0 win over Rijeka; better GD than Strasbourg. |
| 2 | RC Strasbourg | 14 | ↓ 1 | Projected draw away at Slovan Bratislava. |
| 3 | Crystal Palace | 12 | ↑ 6 | Projected 3-0 win over KuPS; leaps into automatic R16. |
| 4 | Mainz 05 | 13 | ↑ 4 | Projected 2-1 win over Samsunspor in the “Mainz Decider.” |
| 5 | Raków Częstochowa | 12 | ↓ 2 | Projected draw vs. Rapid Wien. |
| 6 | AEK Athens | 11 | ↓ 2 | Projected draw vs. Aberdeen. |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 11 | ↑ 4 | Projected win away at Lausanne-Sport. |
| 8 | Sparta Prague | 11 | ↓ 2 | Projected draw vs. Universitatea Craiova. |
| 9 | Samsunspor | 10 | ↓ 4 | Projected loss to Mainz; falls into seeded play-off spot. |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | ↓ 3 | Projected draw vs. BK Häcken. |
| 11 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | ↑ 2 | Projected win vs. Shelbourne. |
| 12 | AEK Larnaca | 9 | ↓ 2 | Projected loss or draw away vs. Drita. |
Key Takeaways from the Projection
1. The “Eagles” Ascendancy
If Crystal Palace secures a dominant victory at Selhurst Park, they are statistically likely to leapfrog several teams currently on 10 or 11 points. Because many of the teams above them (like Raków and AEK Athens) face tricky away ties or fellow top-10 opponents, a 3-point haul for Palace is arguably the most valuable “banker” of the final matchday.
2. The Battle for the Top Spot
Shakhtar Donetsk has been the most clinical side in the competition. Their projected win over Rijeka would likely see them finish as the #1 seed, granting them the theoretical advantage of playing the lowest-ranked survivor in the Round of 16.
3. Heartbreak for the Underdogs
In this projection, KuPS and Lincoln Red Imps risk falling out of the top 24 entirely. The “Swiss Model” is brutal; a single loss on the final day can drop a team from 22nd to 26th, ending their European journey instantly.
What This Means for the Knockout Stage
The teams finishing 1st–8th will enjoy a two-month break from European football, resuming their campaign in March. The teams finishing 9th–24th will be drawn into the Knockout Round Play-offs in January.
Pro Tip: Keep an eye on the “Goal Difference” column. In the conference league, GD is the primary tiebreaker. A late 90th-minute goal in a game that is already “decided” could be the difference between a direct Round of 16 spot and a dangerous playoff match.
For the most accurate, second-by-second updates on these movements, ensure you are following the UEFA Live Match Centre.
To truly understand why some teams are dominating the conference league while others are underperforming their results, we have to look at Expected Goals (xG).
While the actual scoreboard tells you what happened, xG tells you what should have happened based on the quality of chances created. In a tournament with high volatility like this one, xG is the most reliable metric for predicting future success.
The xG Power Rankings: Top 5 Statistical Leaders
Below is a breakdown of the teams currently leading the way in chance creation as we head into the final matchday of the 2025/26 league phase.
| Rank | Club | Actual Goals | Expected Goals (xG) | xG Difference (Efficiency) |
| 1 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 12.9 | -3.9 (Underperforming) |
| 2 | AEK Athens | 11 | 12.4 | -1.4 (Underperforming) |
| 3 | Lech Poznań | 10 | 10.6 | -0.6 (Stable) |
| 4 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 10.0 | 0.0 (Perfectly Efficient) |
| 5 | RC Strasbourg | 8 | 9.7 | -1.7 (Underperforming) |
Analysis: What the Data Tells Us
1. Crystal Palace: The “Sleeping Giant”
Statistically, Crystal Palace is the most dangerous team in the conference league. Their xG of 12.9 is the highest in the competition, yet they have only scored 9 goals. This suggests they are creating elite-level chances but have been plagued by poor finishing or heroic opposition goalkeeping.
- Betting Tip: If their luck turns and they start finishing these “Big Chances,” they could easily blow opponents away in the knockout rounds.
2. AEK Athens: Constant Pressure
The Greek side has been relentless. Ranking 2nd in xG (12.4) and 1st in total goals scored (11), they are the most consistent attacking force in the tournament. Their high xG is driven by players like Luka Jović, who currently holds an individual xG of 3.9, the second-highest for any player in the league phase.
3. Rayo Vallecano: Clinical Precision
Unlike Palace, Rayo Vallecano is performing exactly where the math says they should be. With an xG of 10.0 and exactly 10 goals scored, they are the definition of a “reliable” team. They don’t waste chances, making them a very dangerous “Away” team for the upcoming matchdays.
4. The Anomaly: AEK Larnaca
On the flip side, looking at the full FBref stats, AEK Larnaca is a fascinating case. They are 10th in the actual standings with 9 points, but their xG is a lowly 4.8. This suggests they are “overperforming” their data winning games through elite defending (4 clean sheets) rather than attacking dominance.
Individual xG Leaders (Players)
If you are looking for “Anytime Goalscorer” value, these players are consistently getting into the right positions:
- Franko Kovačević (NK Celje): Leads the league with 4.4 xG and has converted that into 5 goals. He is the most clinical striker in the tournament right now.
- Luka Jović (AEK Athens): Boasts 3.9 xG. While he hasn’t hit the top of the scoring charts yet, the volume of high-quality chances he receives makes a “hat-trick” game feel inevitable.
- Marius Mouandilmadji (Samsunspor): A consistent threat with 3.1 xG and 4 goals.
Conclusion for Predictions
When making your Matchday 6 picks, don’t just look at the wins and losses. Teams like Crystal Palace and Strasbourg are creating enough quality to be much higher in the table. In a high-stakes environment like the conference league, the cream and the xG, usually rises to the top.
While scoring goals gets the headlines, the conference league is often won by the teams that can withstand pressure. If xG (Expected Goals) tells us who should be scoring, xGA (Expected Goals Against) tells us which defenses are actually solid and which are just getting lucky.
Understanding xGA is crucial for Matchday 6 and the knockout rounds. A team might have several clean sheets, but if their xGA is high, it means they are allowing high-quality chances and are being saved by their goalkeeper or poor opposition finishing, a trend that eventually breaks.
The Defensive Wall: Top 5 xGA Leaders
Here is how the top defensive units in the conference league rank based on their ability to limit high-quality chances:
| Rank | Club | Actual Goals Against | Expected Goals Against (xGA) | Defensive Efficiency |
| 1 | Raków Częstochowa | 2 | 2.8 | +0.8 (Slightly Overperforming) |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 3 | 3.2 | +0.2 (Elite Consistency) |
| 3 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4.0 | 0.0 (Perfectly Disciplined) |
| 4 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 | 4.3 | -0.7 (Underperforming) |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 4.9 | +0.9 (Solid) |
Defensive Insights: Who Can You Trust?
1. Raków Częstochowa: The Tactical Fortress
The Polish side has been the defensive revelation of the tournament. With an xGA of just 2.8 across five matches, they are conceding less than 0.6 xGA per game. This isn’t luck; it’s a rigid tactical system that stifles the opponent’s ability to even enter the penalty area. If you are looking for a team to grind out a 1-0 win, Raków is your safest bet.
2. Sparta Prague: The Model of Consistency
Sparta Prague’s defensive numbers are almost identical to their actual results. An xGA of 3.2 against 3 actual goals conceded shows a defense that is in total control. They don’t rely on “miracle saves”; they simply don’t give up high-value opportunities.
3. Crystal Palace: The “All-Rounder”
What makes Crystal Palace a legitimate threat to win the conference league is their balance. Not only do they lead the league in attacking xG, but they also maintain a top-5 defensive xGA (4.9). They are effectively dominating both ends of the pitch, suggesting that their current 9th-place ranking is a massive statistical fluke that will likely correct itself soon.
4. The “Paper Tiger”: AEK Athens
While we praised AEK Athens for their attack, their defense is a concern. They have an xGA of 6.2, which is significantly higher than the teams around them in the standings. They play a high-risk, high-reward style that leaves them vulnerable to counter-attacks. In the knockout stages, this “leaky” underlying data could be their downfall against a clinical side like Rayo Vallecano.
The Goalkeeper Factor: PSxG
To get the full picture, we also look at Post-Shot Expected Goals (PSxG), which measures how likely a keeper is to save a shot after it has been hit.
- Zlatan Alomerović (AEK Larnaca): While Larnaca’s xGA is a bit high (5.1), Alomerović has prevented nearly 2.5 goals above expectation. He is the primary reason they have 4 clean sheets.
- Thomas Strakosha (AEK Athens): Has been kept busy, but his save percentage on “Big Chances” remains one of the highest in the league phase.
Final Betting Verdict
When looking at the conference league Matchday 6 and beyond, look for the “Defensive Divergence.” Teams like Shakhtar and Samsunspor have the underlying numbers to suggest they can soak up pressure and win on the break. Conversely, avoid backing teams with high xGA in away fixtures, as the “luck” of a hot goalkeeper usually runs out under the pressure of a hostile European crowd.
To give you the most accurate prediction, we are diving into a high-stakes “six-pointer” that will decide a direct path to the Round of 16. Both Mainz 05 and Samsunspor are currently locked on 10 points, meaning this match is effectively a final before the finals.
Expert Video Analysis: Conference League Matchday 6 Predictions
FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS TODAY 11 DECEMBER 2025 EUROPA LEAGUE | CONFERENCE League | TIPS | KICKIQ
Stat-Match: Mainz 05 vs. Samsunspor
Competition: UEFA Conference League – Matchday 6 Kick-off: Thursday, December 18, 2025 – 21:00 CET Venue:MEWA Arena, Mainz
The Numbers Game
| Metric | Mainz 05 | Samsunspor | Advantage |
| Current Standing | 8th | 5th | Samsunspor |
| Goals Scored | 5 | 10 | Samsunspor |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 4 | Mainz 05 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | 1.04 /game | 1.81 /game | Samsunspor |
| Recent Form | D-L-W-W-W | L-D-W-W-W | Even |
| Squad Value | €112m | €48m | Mainz 05 |
Tactical Breakdown
Mainz 05: The Bundesliga Resilience
Despite sitting at the bottom of the Bundesliga table, Urs Fischer has transformed Mainz into a “European Specialist” side. They are coming off a massive 2-2 draw against Bayern Munich just days ago, proving they can handle elite pressure.
- The Blueprint: Mainz plays a pragmatic, high-pressing game. They have the 3rd best defensive record in the conference league, allowing only 3 goals in 5 games. They aim to suffocate the midfield and rely on Nadiem Amiri to create magic from dead-ball situations.
- Weakness: A massive injury list. They are currently missing key starters like Mwene, Amiri (doubtful), and Caci, which could test their depth in the final 20 minutes.
Samsunspor: The Turkish Flare
Thomas Reis’s men are the dark horses of the tournament. They have scored double the goals of Mainz (10) and play a much more expansive, attacking brand of football.
- The Blueprint: They look to exploit the wings through Anthony Musaba and rely on the physical presence of Marius Mouandilmadji, who has 4 goals in the competition. They aren’t afraid to concede possession if it means they can hit on a lightning-fast counter-attack.
- Weakness: Defensive lapses. They haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last 6 matches across all competitions, often getting drawn into high-scoring “shootouts.”
Key Battle: Benedict Hollerbach vs. Rick van Drongelen
The game will likely be won or lost in the transition. Hollerbach is the engine of the Mainz attack; his ability to carry the ball forward into the final third will put Van Drongelen under immense pressure. If the Dutch defender can keep Hollerbach quiet, Samsunspor’s creative midfielders like Olivier Ntcham will have the platform to dominate.
Predicted Final Score: 1–1
The Logic: Mainz is incredibly tough to beat at home in Europe, and they only need a draw to potentially stay in the top 8 (depending on other results). Samsunspor has the better attacking numbers, but the disciplined Mainz backline, led by Stefan Bell is likely to neutralize the Turkish threat.
Expert Tip: Under 2.5 goals looks like the smart play here. Mainz has seen fewer than three goals in four of their last five home matches.
Conclusion
The conference league is no longer just a “third-tier” afterthought; it is a vibrant, essential part of the footballing calendar. It rewards consistency, provides a platform for the “little guys” to become legends, and ensures that the magic of European football is felt in every corner of the continent. Whether you are a die-hard supporter of a participating club or a fan of the beautiful game, the conference league offers a unique brand of excitement that is hard to find anywhere else.
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The new Swiss-style league phase of the conference league has made European football more unpredictable than ever. With 36 teams fighting for every single goal to improve their GD (Goal Difference), traditional betting patterns have been tossed out the window.
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